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HertsRacer

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Everything posted by HertsRacer

  1. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Sadly deaths on a large proportion are inevitable in any pandemic. We have locked down the aged and at risk to try and reduce the numbers, which seems to be working, as the figures suggest the rise in new deaths has moved from tripling every few days towards doubling, still too high but a move in the right direction. Also the percentage rise in ICU cases was only 4 per cent yesterday nationally, the lowest daily rise so far. In London the number actually fell. All good signs, but there are still thousands of people out there with the virus, all of whom can infect others. Unless you can reduce the possibility of spread to a manageable level, any relaxing in the restrictions will only lead to a further increase in infections and inevitably even more deaths.
  2. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Totally correct. Italy and Germany have now reached 1, while Norway is at 0.7 and is considering easing restrictions.
  3. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Blimey, what if this guy is right. Now who's got a tractor I can borrow. MINSK (Reuters - 8/4/2002) - The number of coronavirus cases in Belarus topped 1,000 on Wednesday, the health ministry said, reporting 205 new infections, a record daily rise. The total number of cases rose to 1,066, but there was no change in the number of deaths, which remained at 13. Belarus is seeing average daily growth in cases of around 20-25%, according to Reuters calculations. President Alexander Lukashenko has called the coronavirus a "psychosis" that can be fought with vodka, saunas and driving tractors, but some of his citizens are taking matters into their own hands to protect themselves. Belarus has not closed its borders, introduced quarantine measures or asked people to follow social distancing guidelines.
  4. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Thanks for putting me off. Hate bloody needles anyway.
  5. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    No, many people I've spoken to have been amazed at the flu death figures. They had no idea of the numbers, nothing to do with refusing to accept them, they were just not aware flu was such a killer. But if nobody makes a song and dance about it and plasters it all over the news and papers how would they know?
  6. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Add to that is the numbers requiring ICU treatment is slowing down, just a 4% rise today. In London the figures are falling.
  7. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    To be honest I don't suppose many people realised flu killed so many, I certainly didn't. I've never bothered with a flu jab before. Will next year.
  8. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    I have already mentioned that today's figures include 255 deaths from the weekend and an undeclared number relating to March, so the exact figure for today could be 300 less than the official figure. That is providing that today's figures are complete. There is also the fact that Scotland have now included non NHS deaths in their figures back dated to March. No idea though if they have been included or are still to come.
  9. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    None that I knew of, but who knows.
  10. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Yes its very sad and can come as a hell of a shock when you don't expect it. Just found out this afternoon that someone I knew died of the virus over the weekend aged 50. Not a nice feeling.
  11. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Think he was being sarcastic, but if you read my previous post he may be closer to the truth than he thinks.
  12. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    From BBC News Another 828 patients who tested positive for Covid-19 have died in hospitals in England. This brings the total so far to 6,483. Today's announcement represents a big rise on the 403 announced on Monday and a further rise on the 758 announced yesterday. However, many hospitals do not report deaths that happened over the weekend until the middle of the following week. Most of those included in today's figures died over the past few days, including 255 on Saturday and Sunday, but the latest NHS England figures also reveal some died last month, including one on 4 March.
  13. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    I'm not a scientist so no idea. Whatever it is Germany are also using it as a milestone according to Iris123.
  14. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    I don't calculate anything. The scientists etc do that.
  15. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    The important measure is not deaths but the reproductive number of the virus, ie the average number of people each infected person will transmit the virus too. The optimum number is 1 which Italy has now achieved, previously it was 3. The Norway figure is now 0.7 down from 2.7. Once the figure is less than 1 the epidemic will gradually disappear.
  16. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Not sure, but I think they have to trace and inform next of kin etc, before officially including it in records. Sure I read that somewhere.
  17. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Interesting quote from Prof Jim Naismith, at the University of Oxford, "because of understandable" delays in reporting by NHS trusts, the daily figures included deaths that may have happened up to two weeks ago".
  18. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Yes and yesterday Scotland announced 2 deaths. The question is how many of the 750 and 160 refer to Saturday and Sunday.
  19. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Quite right. You can't say things are getting better or worse by comparing one day against the next.
  20. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Agreed, you have to remember these are reported figures, not actual. It is well known that statistics for the weekend do not hit the system until some days later, so you can expect a rise by about Wednesday, but this rise will include some deaths in the previous week and should not be read as a rising trend.
  21. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    No, the current figures for today show 457 deaths against a figure of 700 of yesterday, which is probably not the final figure..
  22. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    The Spanish figures are always different to the official final figures on that site. I can only assume that the figures on worldmeters are not he final figures, but those announced to date. Before they altered the way UK figures were announced, they would post the Scottish, Welsh and Irish figures before the English figures were announced, which gave a very misleading impression. Best not to look at the figures until the evening when they should be complete.
  23. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Thanks for that. So basically those who die outside the NHS, ie in nursing homes or at home are now being included in the figures. Would explain the big increase. Wonder if the BBC etc will mention that?
  24. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    That's just the total in England. UK total is 393. Hell of a jump since yesterday.
  25. HertsRacer

    Covid-19 Are we being told the truth ?

    Surprised nobody has mentioned that although the number of deaths has risen, the number of new cases reported is lower than yesterday's figure.
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