Heathcote

A few bets i like tonight, although its all pretty much based on Tobiasz having a good night with little back up from the rest of the Tigers Bet 365 have the handicap of -8 about right as i expect a 49-41/50-40 home win so wont be touching that Fully expect Tobiasz to have 7 rides, with RR Tac Sub and Heat 15 so over 12 should be a steal from 7 outings Nick Morris -1 over Holder, Holder makes no secret he doesnt like the tight Monmore circuit and even with 5 rides I dont see him scoring many more than 6-7 points, Morris should be getting 8 minimum Connor Mountain +2 over Flint, Connor riding much better lately and if he gets his gating gloves on he should be avoiding last place in all his outings, as well as possible picking up an extra reserve ride or RR, as can see Kerr and Sedgman struggling Howarth +2 over Douglas, purely based on the fact Kyle should pick up 6 rides with RR and Heat 15 Ryan Douglas over 7, although this does depend on him occasionally getting in front of Becker Holder Under 7 and Kerr under 5

With Sheffield now riding every Monday and Thursday between now and the 12th September, also add in the need to race the Wolves league fixture before whatever cut off date the BSPA has come up with then the play offs and final, along with the rearranged British Final we are probably looking at late October before this fixture can be fitted in

Barring an EF in the final no one is touching Dan Bewley all night, far outclasses anyone else in this field, bit zero value in backing Bewley for anything listed i feel I see Ellis making the final with him, although not been in great form this season sure he will be determined to show he can defend the title with pride and will certainly want his shot at Cardiff. See Wright, Bomber and Steve Worrall making the last chance heat and the final place in that will be between King and Brennan. So will be backing Ellis over 10 Having a small play on Steve Worrall for the title, not that I think he will win it but at 5.5/1 to not come last in the final I thinks worth a shout Also backing Lawson to outscore Howarth, Kyle has only scored 8 points from 9 rides at Belle Vue this season and i dont see him scoring any more than 6 tonight whilst Lawson I feel will get 8/9. As a result will also be backing Howarth under 9. I also cannot see where Lewis Kerr scores 6 points tonight so will be backing him under that. Also Nicholls to outscore Kerr and Flint to outscore Starke

Belle Vue v Peterboro Have this down as a 22 point home win, 56-34, although wont be touching the handicap as not entirely sure if Im banking on Basso having a reasonable night, as can only really see him and Bomber troubling the scorers tonight. So only punts in this meeting are Basso over 7 and Wright over 8 Wolves v Kings Lynn Think this will be a 49-41 home win so again wont be touching he meeting handicap but do think that Wolves will race ahead and only later in the meeting will it be clawed back somewhat, so taking Wolves at -4 at Heat 8. Lawson at +5 over Becker seems a great bet to me, yes Richard may only get 7-8, but dont see Becker getting 12-13, hence also backing Lawson over 6 Will be backing Howarth over 6 but also a punt on Douglas -3 over Howarth Flint over Edwards is also another bet

So not the 8th for Sheffield v Kings Lynn??....which has only recently been moved to a monday night

Belle Vue v Kings Lynn Feel this should be a walk in the park for the Aces and should run out winners by around 20 points, so certainly backing the Aces at -14. Also backing Blodorn at +2 over Jorgensen. With Lawson and Pickering most likely getting 6 and 7 rides respectively I will also be backing Lawson to score over 7 and Josh over 11 Peterboro v Wolves MPT is a big loss for the Panthers and not sure they have enough men in form to cover his RR so think Wolves will run out winners by around 6 points and thus backing them at the -2 Handicap Think Scott should get over 6 from his 5 rides, also backing Douglas to score over 8

Judging by Bet 365 prices, I am assuming Sam Masters is not riding for Wolves, as it appears that Bet365 are banking on all the Wolves heat Leaders having an extra ride Anyway for what its worth, I think all 3 matches will be home wins in the 49-41 or 48-42 region so will be backing all 3 home teams at those handicaps Wolves v Ipswich Doyle +1 over Morris, Douglas -2 over King, Becker -1 over Batchelor, Doyle over 12, Douglas Over 9, Batchelor Under 8 Belle Vue v Sheffield Holder under 9, Musielak over 8, Kurtz over 9, Howarth over Wright Peterboro v Kings Lynn MPT Over 10, Pickering Over 13, Pickering Over Harris,

Think Ipswich at -6 is the standout bet tonight, personally see the Witches running out by 10-12 points. Harris to score over 12 is also a bet for me, purely on the basis that I think Bomber will have 7 rides. Also backing Andersen under 11, even with the potential of 6 rides and now paired back with Ostergaard who has improved a little of late, I see those 2 taking points off each other too regularly and not enough race wins for Andersen to be getting double figures. The Stars Tigers fixture is a little to close to call and as result just two bets on rider points, Ellis over 8 and Lawson over 7

Think 365 have th handicap about spot on for the Wolves Belle Vue encounter, although feel there is value at heat 8 in the wolves -6, think Kurtz will be a miss tonight for the Aces. Whilst Monmore may not have been Bradys fav place I feel he would have scored 7/8 which RR will not cover. Zagar over 7 seems a good bet to me, as should get 5 rides, possibly 6. A small gamble on Becker +3 over Wright, I know Charles could end up with 7 rides if he hits the form of his previous visit to Monmore, but banking that he doesnt and that Becker can at least get a similar score to Wright Peterboro Ipswich will be a much closer meeting and again could go to the super heat. Not sure what 365 know about MPT both his bets at +1 over king and to score over 8 seem like printing money to me, would have gladly back MPT at -1. Also taking Doyle at -1 over Bomber, barring EF Doyle should romp to a 15pt max

Belle Vue at -4 I think is a steal, Can see BV winning by 10 points tonight. Blodorn over Kemp, I dont see where Kemp scores apart from Heat 2, if that. Whilst I think on paper Sheffield should win this meeting, the complete inconsistency of the top 5 means it could end up being close, possibly even a draw. Although I dod feel Holder and Musielak will have good nights and will score over 9 and 8 respectively. Also think MPT should be good for over 8 also. Will also take a punt on Holder +2 over Harris

Smacks of making a change just for the sake of it in my opinion. Whilst Stefan hasn't really shown the form of last season he also hasn't been that bad either, yes possibly being outscored by Connor, but Connor does get the slightly easier rides due to being a "rising star" although in terms of years in the sport and experience not a deal between them, connor just lucky in terms of getting he number 7 spot. Its further up the order that Sheffields management need to be looking, whilst i dont think anyone is in danger of losing their terms place, the complete lack of consistency certainly needs addressing

Wolves v Peterboro Should be a comfortable home victory by around 14 points I would think so certainly backing Wolves at -10, also think the -6 at heat 8 is generous too so also taking a punt on that. Surely MPT can get to 7 points in 5, possibly 6 outings? Will take a gamble on it. Also a punt on Nick Morris continuing his good form, over 10 Belle Vue v Ipswich Think this might be a little closer than the meeting at Monmore and I think a 10point home win, so wont be touching the handicap on the meeting, but will be backing Belle Vue at -4 at heat 8 Doyle must be nailed on for 6 outings so should easily get over 11, also taking Doyle at +1 over Zagar As i dont see Batchelor finishing ahead of any of BV's top 4 and possibly not even beating Brennan, if his 3 visits there last season are anything to go by, so Batchelor under 7 is a bet for me A punt on Brennan -3 over Barker also

Peterboro v Wolves MPT -1 over Douglas - MPT should have 5 rides, unless th rest of the Patchers suddenly find some serious form, also riding with the out of form Scott, whilst Douglas and Becker could end up beating each other and no guarantee of 5 rides for Douglas this is my main pick in the meeting. Also MPT over 10 Morris + 5 over Basso - Just think 5 points is way to much of a head start for someone that is around 3rd in the league averages, been going well everywhere and should be hitting at least 8-9 points. Yes Basso could have 7 rides but hasn't replicated his early season form and even with the possibility of taking 7 rides cant see him hitting 14-15 points. As a result also taking Morris over 7 Ipswich v Kings Lynn Doyle -4 over Iversen. I dont really see Doyle getting beat tonight and now riding with Starke, I dont see him getting beat by his own partner either. NKI will most likely hit the 8-9 mark and dont see that being enough to surpass Doyley Pickering and King both over 7, Pickering should hit double figures with 5 rides, even if only 4 rides he is up against the likes of Hume, Barker, Starke and Worrall in 3 of his rides so could easily have over 7 before heat 13 comes along. The King bet is more of a risk as relying on hime not following Riss home in every single heat, if he does get in front of him then he should also score more than 7 Hume over Thomas - Danyon has shown good form since coming in for the Witches and given his recent form and Barker and Starkes hit and miss form he could easily have more than his 4 programmed rides Also had a double on both home teams to win the meeting and also both home teams to be ahead after heat 8

According Sportowefakty, Berntzon (Injured) and Misowiak make way for Zmarzlik and Legowik to ride tonight for Lejonen And according Alex Raby's twitter feed Zmarzlik is riding

Wolves v Sheffield Think Wolves will win this based purely on their gating skills, certainly showed sheffield how to get the the first bend at Owlerton in front and cant see it being much different tonight, especially as Ellis and Mountain seemed to have lost their gating gloves in recent weeks. Musielak should offer some resistance along with Howarth's recent up turn in form, Wolves should take it by 6. Bets, Wolves to be leading at heat 8, Musielak over 9 (thinking 6 rides) and Kemp over Nielsen, think Kemp winning heat 2 will be enough to take that bet as I only see Nielsen beating Leon Flint Kings Lynn v Peterborough Cant deny I was tempted by the +8 on Peterboro, as i think MPT, Harris and Basso could keep this closer than many think, but in the end have left it alone Bets, NKI over 8, Harris over 10, Andersen over Kerr

365 leaving the markets late again Think both matches will be very close tonight, both could easily finish 46-44, although I feel both home sides will just sneak it, the lack of any reasonable scoring from Wolves reserve pairing will be their downfall, even though Kemp has good knowledge of the Foxhall circuit. Becker over Barker, seems a shoe in to me, Becker always reasonable at Foxhall and should be ok for 8 points, even with Barker having an extra ride i done see him getting over 5 King over Douglas, more a guess that King has to come good at Foxhall sooner or later, in reasonable form for Poole, and should get 5 rides, has Ipswich have little option in my opinion for that heat, also Douglas never been the best at Ipswich, also Douglas under 9. At Owlerton, Kurtz over 8 and Musielak over 9

Is this a 4, 3, 2, 0 points scoring event? Just checking to ensure if Bet 365 are counting only the first 15 heats in rider and team scores and not the semi and final?

Markets up little late on 365 today hence no time for full reasoning as need to get off to Owlerton Masters over 7...purely cos I think he may end up having 6 rides Musielak over 10, been impressive round Owlerton so far and should want to put Mondays bad night behind him Mountain -1 Over Kemp Kings Lynn to be winning the meeting at heat 8 Kurtz over 9 Lawson over 7 Thomas to outscore Blodorn MPT to outscore Kerr

Because with a 5 point start he can afford to miss a gate or two or even have an ef, With a minus 5 start you have to have a perfect evening

Ipswich v Sheffield Think Sheffield will win this by 8 points, double figure scores from both Ellis and Musielak, 7 points each from Bomber, Cookie and Connor, then both Kyle and Stefan chipping in with 3-5 points each should see a 49-41 victory for the away side, hence backing Sheffield to win the Meeting at 4/5 and also the -2 Handicap at 21/20 As what I've just said also backing Harris over 6 and Mountain to cover the -1 handicap over Hume, apart from Heat 2 I dont see where the Ippo reserves score another point. Also backing King over 9 and Batchelor under 7, despite Troy having a decent score at home to Belle Vue, I dont see him out gating the likes of Ellis and Musielak as he did the aces boys, and I certainly dont see him over taking anyone Belle Vue v Kings Lynn Again I see this being another 8 point victory, to the home side this time and think the 14 point handicap on Kings Lynn is rather generous. With Worrall at reserve and providing that Pickering and Lawson are fully fit, NKI to be in reasonable form I fail to see how Kings Lynn cant get 39 points...given that every home side moans how the rain has affected their "normal" track also leads me to be backing Kings Lynn Also as per whats above, Both Lawson and Pickering backed to score over 6 each Also a small wager on Pickering at +5 Over Kurtz, yes Brady may well get 15, but an EF or a missed gate in 13 or 15 and he will be struggling, given that I reckon Josh will be getting 8 points, then Brady needs to be hitting 13 minimum, which he may not

Wolves v Ipswich Got to be taking Wolves at -2, the loss of Douglas does affect them slightly but if Jorgensen shows glimpses of his form there last week cant see Wolves failing to hit 50 points, also Wolves to be leading the meeting at Heat 8 seems a fair offer at 5/6 Doyle should be having his full complement of 6 rides in this meeting and cant see how he doesnt get into double figures, even if he only has 5, he should have the beating of the majority of the Wolves side even away from home, so definite bet to score over 9. Still cant be having Batchelor at any score to be putting last years woes behind him just yet, the fact he is now at 5 means he should be beating his own reserve every time, but just dont see him getting enough race wins against any of the Wolves top 5 for him to be getting over 7. Peterboro v Belle Vue Should be a close meeting and therefore a rather more entertaining spectacle for the cameras than last weeks borefest. Think Belle Vue's top 2 could just edge this in a close meeting, probably a last heat decider in my opinion. So Belle Vue just to win the meeting at 19/20 seems a fair bet. Both Kurtz and Fricke to score over 9, cant see either of them failing to get a few heat wins each. Also after 2 below par performances from Fricke away from home he owes the Aces a decent return now. Ostergaard at -3 over Etheridge, cant see Jye troubling the scorers and Ulrich should be good for 6-7 points

2 Premiership meetings tonight so a few bets too look at, although in the riders score I think that Bet 365 appear to be on the money really, so not a lot of value in that market Will be backing Belle Vue at +2 and also to win the meeting, think they will run out 46-44/47-43 winners of the meeting overall, certainly think Batchelor moving to 5 makes Ipswich weaker overall. Fricke over 10, as the meeting will be close throughout Im almost certain he will have all 5 rides. Also backing Brennan at +1 over Starke, thinking that Brennan could pick up a couple of extra rides replacing Blodorn and Etheridge Will be backing Sheffield at -12, expecting them to hit 53, 54 points this evening, also backing them at -6 at heat 8 as expect them to start well and be 10 points up at the mid stage of the meeting. Only rider bet in this meeting is Ellis over 10, he may not get 5 rides but dont expect him to be beaten by an opponent in his 4 programmed rides either

So profit from this morning likely to be wasted on this evenings meeting but expecting it to be very close, the Wolves reserves look very weak and as a result Kings Lynn will be keeping it real close, as a result a small play on the meeting finishing a draw and also being a draw after 8 heats. Although for it to be close, Lawson is going to have to score over 7 so thats a bet along with Douglas over 8 Also going to take a punt on Thomas +1 over Kemp and Iversen +2 over Masters Has Josh Pickering ever visited Monmore before? He wasnt in the Sheffield side for either of their 2 visits last season, could be a play at under 7

Got these on just in time Belle Vue -4 at heat 8, expecting a strong start before Peterboro claw back a bit of pride with Basso taking a few extra heats Wright over Ostergard off scratch and Fricke -2 over Harris, a risk that Harris could have 6 rides, but still think Fricker will be a reasonably untroubled by the panthers Kurtz over 8, think he will be too strong for any of the Panthers to be honest Basso +1 over Brennan, Basso could well have 7 rides and even though he has never been to Belle Due he should still outscore Brennan MPT to continue his Craven Memorial form and score over 8

Backing both Pickering and Lawson over 9, along with Doyle over 12, hopefully a couple of heat wins in his 6 rides tonight Also Batchelor under 8 and Jorgensen +2 over Troy...Dont think either will score highly but Jorgensen will hopefully get enough to cover the handicap. Also backing Lawson -2 over King....the last places in heat 13 and 15 for King should see Lawson will this bet