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Heathcote

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Everything posted by Heathcote

  1. Difficult one to pick out any value bets for tonights meeting, not knowing the exact state of the track with regards rain and the impending GP at the weekend Regardless of the above though think Ipswich will win by 12-14 51-39, 52-38 so will take the bet on Ipswich at -10 Although I dont see Basso and Worrall winning many races as a pair I also dont see them coming last either, trouble is which one will finish in front and which one will get the bonus point, therefore buggering up any bet, but think Basso at +3 over Rew is worth a risk. Although Rew is almost guaranteed 5 rides and he has been improving of late I still only see hm picking up 5 points, Im hoping Basso can scrape together 9, if he gets 8 from 4 he will get himself in Heat 15 Danny King is guaranteed 5 rides also and with the GP coming up hopefully he gets the nod in heat 15 in also over Jason or Emil, so will back him to score over 12
  2. Think Leicester will just edge a close meeting tonight, so avoiding the H'cap of -4, just a bit too close for my liking. 3 bets that look good to me are Sam Masters over 8, on his last visit he was untroubled except for a retirement, with the possibility of 6 rides he should easily be hitting double figures. As a result of the possibility of 6 rides I will also be backing him to outscore Fricke. Max hasn't exactly hit top gear at home and could be limited to just the 4 rides this evening. Cant say I have seen too much from Nick Morris around Leicester this season, only averaging around 7 points, as a result will be backing him to score under 9.
  3. Brief write up as forgot these start in 5 mins Leicester at +12, feel sure that Leicester can keep it to a 49-41/50-40 loss, Fricke, Lawson, Bomber should be able to keep the score reasonable in my opinion As a result of the above statement also backing Lawson to outscore Brennan and Harris to outscore Lidsey. In the hope that Fricke has 6 rides, backing him to score over 11 The Ipswich KL match will be close, as just dont see the stars running that many last places, also cant see them crossing the line first too many times either. Although as Doyle and Emil will be out in Heats 13 and 15 gaining a 5-1 in both heats feel Ipswich should over come the -2 handicap. From his 5 rides King should score over 10, also backing KK to score over 6 and Jorgensen at -1 to outscore Rew
  4. Belle Vue at -12????? Am I missing something here as I see nothing but a 20 point plus victory for the aces...or has there been some last minute team changes?
  5. Id say the Ipswich / Leicester double at 5/2 is a great value bet, not often your getting those odds on just the home teams winning the meeting Although if anyone is fancying Ipswich at 21/20 to just win the meeting then also backing both Doyle and Emil over 12 has to be a bet, as the Witches arent winning unless those 2 go almost unbeaten
  6. Peterboro v Belle Vue Bewley to score over 10, now he has had a few meetings under his belt both here and abroad I feel he should be much sharper than his early season form has suggested on these shores, his 11 points in Poland yesterday should have given him more confidence as well. Im also backing him to outscore Basso as well I feel there is some value in Peterborough at +4 at home tonight, looking down the respective line ups Its only Bewley and Blodorn that i would consider stronger than MPT and Hans. Worrall and Basso are definitely stronger than Wright and Brennan at the EoES, the sam can be said for Cook and Jenkins over Lidsey and Mulford, whilst NKI and Brady are probably going to score equal amounts, so I think the Panthers should get 44 points. The 21/10 on offer for them to win the meeting is tempting, but at this moment i havent convinced myself that Bewley can have another poor meeting. Leicester v Ipswich Leicester to cover the -4 H'cap without too much hassle in my opinion, the loss of Riss is just a little too much for the witches to carry with only King likely to come in as a race winner. Emil under 11 is also a bet for me, just on the fact he has never ridden the track, its a KO Cup meeting so cannot have any more than 5 rides, amy not even get all 5 if the ex Lion King has a good night from his scheduled 5 rides, so in the hope it takes Emil a couple of rides to figure the track out its worth taking him to score less than 11 Keynan Rew to score under 5 also, I know he will have 5 rides but just dont see who he will be beating around Leicester, apart from finishing ahead of his own reserves. Fricke to score over 9, potentially risky in the fact that Sedgman has gone well so far this season and Fricke could well follow him occasionally, also the fact that any of the Lions top 5 could get the Heat 15 ride but i feel on his own track Max will be determined to get one over his fellow GP riders and keep himself infant of Doyley and Emil.
  7. Main bet for me is the treble of Ipswich, Leicester and Kings Lynn to all win, which pays just over even money Ipswich v Belle Vue Think 365 are spot on with the idea it will be a 46-44 home win, Ipswich top 2 will see them home in the end and backing both to score over 12 and over 11. Also taking Emil at -2 over Brady Leicester v Peterborough I personally think it will be a 10pt home victory but only bets i will be staking are Fricke over 10 and also Fricke at +3 over NKI, I know NKI could have 7 rides tonight, but even from 7 I dont see him scoring 17+ points, So feel confident enough Fricke will do enough from his 5 rides Kings Lynn v Wolves I see this being a home win around 48-42, so only bets for me are Pickering over Douglas and also Masters over 10
  8. So isnt this the moment the new Premiership CEO should be raising his head above the parapet and ensuring the rulebook is understood and strictly adhered too....as his press release for the job stated.... or his he just going to be another taking some form of payment from British speedway whilst actually achieving or doing sweet fa. We all know Nicki isnt injured so at least speak up and state why the Panthers have been granted the RR facility, is it due to him withholding his services...or have his polish club told him where is bread is buttered, the CEO should at least have the balls to drop Pedersen/Peterboro/Grudziadz in it, dont mug off the dwindling paying public.
  9. Slim pickings for tonights meeting although I do fancy Wolves to win 49-41 so will take the -6 on offer at 365. Bewley must pick up form soon I assume, so backing him at over 9, as apart from him and Brady I dont see any of the others Aces getting Heat 15, so Dan should be getting double figures from his 5 rides. Also taking him to outscore Masters with a +1 H'cap. A fair chance that Worrall and Masters will take points off each other, I somehow dont see Norrick getting in front of Bewley too often
  10. Sheffield v Kings Lynn Thinking the result of this will be 54-36 in the Tigers favour Ive taken the -12 on offer, although think both ex tigers in Klindt and Pickering will get over 6, as they will provide the majority of the Stars points and both should get 5 rides. Also had Josh to outscore Bellego with the 1pt start Ipswich v Leicester Again think this will end around 54-36 so again taken the -8 on offer for the Witches. Emil to score over 10 and also to outscore Fricker even with the -2 h'cap. Also a punt on Sedgman to outscore Rew
  11. KK Under 5, Pickering Over 4 and Wolves at -4 Bewley Over 10, Andersen Under 5 and Lidsey Under 8, Iversen to Outscore Lidsey
  12. Belle Vue to easily cover the -8 tonight Bewley over 11, barring EF dont see him being beaten and also Bewley -1 over Musielak
  13. I somehow doubt the superheat will come into play tonight, the 5 tigers remaining from last season only averaged 28 points a meeting between them on their 4 visits to the NSS last season. The addition of Bellego and Gilkes to the septet will not be adding a further 14 points to that total. Sheffield will have to up their games massively, or Belle Vue have some terrible luck for the Tigers to get close to 40 points this evening
  14. Can these premiership matches be played on demand after the live event? And if so for how long? Just curious, if im at Sheffield when they streaming another meeting the same night can i watch it over the weekend after etc?
  15. Ellis isnt UK based, flies in and out for every meeting from his home in France
  16. So options are Fri 21st - Tomorrow daytime, to soon?? plus dogs run at night Sat 22nd - Lunchtime? Giving riders opportunity to get to Leicester after and avoid clash with Sheff Utd, well getting to Owlerton at least Sun 23rd - Stock cars from midday Mon 24th - Sheffield v Ipswich and Kings Lynn v Belle Vue. Cancel 2 meetings to run one? Tues 25th - Pairs at Leicester Wed 26th - Outdoor cinema at Owlerton Thurs 27th - Outdoor cinema at Owlerton plus Pairs at Belle Vue Fri 28th - Daytime? as dogs run at night Sat 29th - Sheff Wed at home and dogs run at night Sun 30th - Stock cars at midday Mon 31st - Nothing scheduled for ether team So 31st it has to be unless it’s ridden away from Sheffield although given that Sheffield and Kings Lynn are still involved in 4 meetings in the next 11 days and Poole and Leicester also have 4 meetings there’s potentially going to be a big clash on that date if there are any postponements which given it’s the end of October that’s almost guaranteed
  17. Bet365 have this priced up much closer than I did so will definitely be taking Kings Lynn at -2 and also off scratch for heat 8 Holder over 7 and also to outscore Lawson are 2 other bets, along with Klindt at +1 over Musielak and Pickering to outscore Ellis
  18. Firstly it was a great advert for speedway over the two legs that everything that is required, hard fast racing by 2 evenly matched teams. With the scoreline finishing so close though focus will always fall on the refereeing decisions as it will always be felt that the title wasnt truly decided on the track as it should be. With Heat 1 I agree Kurtz was the primary cause of the stoppage, but given that it was heat one, the move happened on bend 2 I dont think anyone at all would have objected to all 4 back, given first race of a final tension and all that. Heat 3 irrespective of who anyone thought was at fault or not this should have been all 4 back Had the ref chose to put all 4 back in heats 1 and 3 then there would have been not talk of poor refereeing decisions cos the ref wouldnt have actually made a decision, just gave the riders the opportunity to race. With heat 11, yes a decision had to be made, and yes in my opinion Tobiasz had to go. Brady new exactly what he was doing and gambled that once he hit the deck he would get the decision. I cant recall which GP it was but one of the final two roundsand it involved Patryk Dudek with an exact similar move on bend 3.....in that case the rider that hit the deck was excluded, assumption being although there was contact, the other rider was in front....Just as Tobiasz was, so all a matter of opinions.
  19. Kurtz, Zagar and Lambert are going to have to be pretty much unbeaten tonight to prevent Sheffield winning by 12 tonight, whilst this is possible for Lambert on recent showings not sure Kurtz and Zagar can hold off Holder, Musielak or Ellis every single time and they will have very little back up. Musielak over Kurtz and Kerr -1 over Brennan, also bets Holder over 9 and Musielak over 8 also worth betting on as well as the gamble on Lambert under 1, at 12/5 thats too big, admittedly could be blown if there is a fall/engine failure, but worth the risk Was thinking of backing Sheffield to win the league, but they could end up winning tonight by 12 and then in a golden heat anything could happen, so taken the safer route of Sheffield -10
  20. Yes that was the rule till Health and Safety kicked, once they banned riders from cutting across the centre green or nipping the wrong way around the tapes to the start the rule was changed to just being on the track under power etc
  21. No, the beat the 2 mins all you have to do is actually be on the track, not actually at the tapes. Riders then eventually get to the tapes and start gardening, many times the green lights arent coming on till minutes after the 2 mins ended.
  22. Simple solution to end the gardening.....2 mins goes on for every single race at the end of the 2mins the green light goes on, if you not ready excluded. If you want to garden then get to the tapes in plenty of time
  23. Absolutely !!! No way are Belle Vue not hitting 55 points tonight, barring engine failures Belle Vue's top 3 will be scoring 37-40 points alone. Also adding in the -4 for for Belle Vue at heat 8, in my opinion they will be 10 points+ ahead at that stage of the meeting. Lambert at even money at -3 over Holder is a stand out bet as well, should be unbeaten and with this being the first leg then Heat 15 is guaranteed for Lambert, Holder will have had an exceptional evening if he gets double figures Kurtz -1 over Musielak, Zagar -2 over Ellis, Etheridge over Sedgman are also bets, as well as assuming Tom has fully recovered from his knock last week he should outscore Kerr as well In the total points market, Ellis under 9, Sedgman under 4, Kerr under 5, Musielak under 9 Kurtz Over 8, Wright over 5, Holder over 7, Etheridge over 2, Zagar over 10, Lambert over 12. For reference, Sheffields averages at the NSS this season are as follows, Holder 8.80, Kerr 4.00, Ellis 5.75, Howarth 4.00, Musielak 5.00, Sedgman 1.33, Mountain 3.33 Total 32.22
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