Arch Stanton 2,303 Posted November 15, 2023 (edited) 32 minutes ago, 4BM said: Adam had dropped a point each year for the last two seasons, he’s definitely on the downward spiral. He’ll be back in the points if he spends as much money on his UK kit as he does his European kit as that was 1:4 ratio last season so shows where some of the issues are To be fair dropping that point the first of the two years was probably due to him having a cracking season in ‘21 where he upped his average from 6.33 to 8.12. Still maintain he’ll put a point minimum on a starting average of 5.71. He’s a better rider than that no doubt about it. Not sure the “downward spiral” is a permanent thing either. I’d label the riders in their late 30’s early 40’s like Iversen and Andersen as on a downward spiral, but not a 27 year old personally. Riders naturally decline as they hit the Autumn of their career but Ellis surely has an awful lot more in the tank as yet. I genuinely don’t know where he’s headed, I’ve heard the Ipswich rumour on here but I’m not sure there’s anything in that. Wherever he ends up I’d bet my last Rolo that a change will do him good and he’ll average 7+. Time will tell. Edited November 15, 2023 by Arch Stanton 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Arch Stanton 2,303 Posted November 15, 2023 37 minutes ago, 4BM said: 1 Kurtz 2 Blodorn 3 Lidsay 4 B Cook 5 Bewley 6 Z Cook 7 Bailey I make that top six 41.3 with British reduction for Bewely. Will be interesting to see what the limit is set at. I’ve heard both 40 and 41 for the top six. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
arnieg 3,698 Posted November 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Arch Stanton said: To be fair dropping that point the first of the two years was probably due to him having a cracking season in ‘21 where he upped his average from 6.33 to 8.12. Still maintain he’ll put a point minimum on a starting average of 5.71. He’s a better rider than that no doubt about where it mattered - in Polandit. Not sure the “downward spiral” is a permanent thing either. I’d label the riders in their late 30’s early 40’s like Iversen and Andersen as on a downward spiral, but not a 27 year old personally. Riders naturally decline as they hit the Autumn of their career but Ellis surely has an awful lot more in the tank as yet. I genuinely don’t know where he’s headed, I’ve heard the Ipswich rumour on here but I’m not sure there’s anything in that. Wherever he ends up I’d bet my last Rolo that a change will do him good and he’ll average 7+. Time will tell. And his average went up in Poland, hardly evidence of a downward decline. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
iainb 5,201 Posted November 15, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 1:10 PM, Phil The Ace said: Belle Vue have confirmed Charles wright won’t be back Both of the scrappers out then Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AceBelle 54 Posted November 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, iainb said: Both of the scrappers out then Replacements will be more than adequate Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
iainb 5,201 Posted November 15, 2023 1 minute ago, AceBelle said: Replacements will be more than adequate at scrapping? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Phil The Ace 2,867 Posted November 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Arch Stanton said: I make that top six 41.3 with British reduction for Bewely. Will be interesting to see what the limit is set at. I’ve heard both 40 and 41 for the top six. I thinks it was set at 40. But maybe with the inclusion of Oxford now they may need to ride it to 41 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Phil The Ace 2,867 Posted November 15, 2023 33 minutes ago, AceBelle said: Replacements will be more than adequate Whoooooosh Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
foreverblue 6,123 Posted November 15, 2023 5 hours ago, arnieg said: And his average went up in Poland, hardly evidence of a downward decline. He isn't in decline just can't be bothered sometimes, he certainly gives that impression a lot of the time. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PotteringAround 653 Posted November 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, foreverblue said: He isn't in decline just can't be bothered sometimes, he certainly gives that impression a lot of the time. The move to Ipswich will do Ellis good. He can't do any worse than last year and his average can only go up. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Aries 475 Posted November 15, 2023 9 minutes ago, PotteringAround said: The move to Ipswich will do Ellis good. He can't do any worse than last year and his average can only go up. Could be Birmingham? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
foreverblue 6,123 Posted November 15, 2023 44 minutes ago, PotteringAround said: The move to Ipswich will do Ellis good. He can't do any worse than last year and his average can only go up. I agree, a home track like Ipswich would be good for him and get back to performing as we all know he should. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
proud panther 1,507 Posted November 15, 2023 3 hours ago, foreverblue said: He isn't in decline just can't be bothered sometimes, he certainly gives that impression a lot of the time. Can't agree that he can't be bothered, surely the less points he gets, the less he earns ? Would definitely have him over all these riders from abroad who are supposedly going to increase their average. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ben91 1,743 Posted November 15, 2023 Ellis on his current average should be a highly sought after commodity next season. To write him off at 27 is frankly ridiculous. 6 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
foreverblue 6,123 Posted November 16, 2023 17 hours ago, proud panther said: Can't agree that he can't be bothered, surely the less points he gets, the less he earns ? Would definitely have him over all these riders from abroad who are supposedly going to increase their average. Maybe not but he gives the impression of giving up if he misses the gate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites