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Everything posted by SCB
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I accept you have to have a happy Kenneth Bjerre but the way he was gushing over Jim Lynch on twitter a few weeks back he must be happy to ride for him. Yes Bjerre can (and does) go AWOL but so does KK - who can forget that stunning display on Sky at Swindon last year? Then look at the leagues other top buys, Fricke? Didn't beat an opponent in 2 away play-off meetings. Morris? 6 times he failed to score 5 last year. Thorsell threw in a few stinkers when he was expected to be a heat leader. I also accept if any of them riders outgate him he's not passing them in all likelihood but how often are they going to outgate him? Im highly confident that Bjerre will finish top 5 in the averages and the only reason I have him as low as 5th is in case a couple of riders I dont expect sign for teams. Take a look in Poland and Sweden last year. Only KK and Doyle of the Premiership riders averaged more than him.
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What odds on Schlein? Heard no mention of him going anywhere else and I have no idea who Somerset are signing so putting 2 and 2 together?
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Thank God a meeting is more than 1 heat then! It's nice having Doyle but doing so means no reserves. Swindon signed Doyle on 13.5 and we signed Bjerre on 8.2. That 5 point difference means we can have two 5 point men in reserve while Swindon will have a 4 and a 2. But by the end of the season there will be less than 5 points difference between Bjerre and Doyle. As it stands they will both be beating the same riders, KK aside. So Doyle will get about 12 more points over the season beating KK. Because everyone else who has been signed and is rumoured to be signed, Bjerre has the beating of. Seems stupid to me to waste 1.5 points on a rider like Doyle - Swindon will start 1.5 points behind every other team in 2017 - that's before you take into account it would take a mammoth effort to average 11, so that's another point lost. Meanwhile stupid Mick Horton has Kenneth Bjerre. KK and Doyle aside who does he have to fear in the EL? No Puk, Holder, Zagar, AJ. I just don't see Kennett, Morris, Thorsell, Nicholls, Fricke, Cook, Anderson etc worrying him.
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Being compared to Leicester last year. Lol. Do any of you watch speedway? Or understand that we're at PL level now?
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But thats how it is now. The EL and the PL us the same averages so the same riders will be in both. To decide you think Coventry have a poor team because you think it should be one big league is an odd way of looking at it. All teams will be the same. At least Danny stands a chance of achieving his average, Swindon are starting 1.5 points under the limit because Jason Doyle cannot possibly attain his average.
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Swindon look pants. And one of Leicester or Somerset is likely to have Schlein so they're going to be off to a good start too. Wolves, I'm not sure, just because I don't have a clue on who they will be signing.
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Which is basically what I posted yesterday.
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The management didn't want him because his average is artificially high from riding as a second string all season. wouldn't have been upset at him signing but really not bothered we haven't signed him this season. Would have picked Joonas Kylmakorpi over him anyway.
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But the league is closer to PL than EL. I'm sure he'll easily get 5+ in reserve. His EL form wasn't helped that he started riding well, went into the 1-5 because he waste of space that was Woryna was failing and in doing so struggled to beat an opponent for about 4 meetings. He never really seemed to get over that. Sarj is a confidence rider. If he can ride at #7 all year he'll do well.
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All Horton has to do is nail down some scaffolding boards and you have a Poole set up. They don't have seats down there, you sit on blanks of wood As for the team. I think it's just fine. I think we'll make the play-offs. And if anyone is crap in the fort 6-8 meetings they can be replaced easily with the points limit being so high.
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By who? Sandhu is hardly going to be doing track when when he's moving out next week
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I'm starting to feel old now! I actually remember Steady starting his career so for him to now be retiring suggests I'm getting on a bit now!
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But there isn't anything worthwhile renting. It's a load of empty building, no lights, not tracks. Anything need to run has been ripped out so nobody can run. Well at least if you listen to the rumours.
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Who knew? Well Sandhu and maybe he told his good mates who run the stoxs what he was planning. They then had a giggle that Horton had forked out for the lease knowing he would only be getting a stadium without any fixtures and fittings and decided there was no way he'd pay to put it right so they planned ahead on the assumption that Horton, as the head leaseholder wouldn't be able to afford to fix anything and that in reality it was an end to the stadium. Horton naively assume he was getting the stadium as a going concern, didn't take into account that the tracks, the lights and all the fitting were not actually owned by the stadium but the soon to be previous head leaseholder. Now Horton is left with a lease for a stadium that doesn't have any of the infrastructure to run speedway, stox or dogs. Horton has been mugged off by all concerned. Or maybe it's all lies and incorrect rumours and Sandhu is just ripping it all out so he can update it to look nice for the new leaseholder?
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KK will get 10+ in this league. Holder wouldn't get 11.5
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In Bjerre and King we have as good at top 2 as pretty much anyone else. Maybe not quite as good at Poole but our pair have cost 3 points less, meaning rather than having a 2 pointer in reserve we can have another 5 pointer. If you have too many top men they just take points off each other, 4 top men isn't, IMO the way to go.
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There would be no argument for Ellis, he has been away from the PL for more than one season. The rule was you could move up (or down) for a season and then move back on your old average if it didn't work out. But looking at the quote you have posted, thats not the case.
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Christ, you were quick to pick up on that one
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Which will be the case for most 7-9 riders. The Summers, Worralls, Garrity, Lawson, Kurtz and Howarth all rode either as second string or reserve. Only really Grajczonek, Masters and Lambert who spent any time as heat leaders.
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Kenneth has GP experience. Was inches/seconds away from being a GP rider. At age 24 he had qualified for the GPs full time having already ridden a handful of them. Lasse, with all due respect isn't ever going to be a GP rider, certainly isn't going to win the GP challenge in 2017 as Kenneth did in 2008. Formatting sucks but you get a good idea. Also more accurate than some of the figures I suggested above, managed to mess up my query last time. Rider Bonus Points Rides CMA BCMA Josh Bates 0 5 2 10.00 10.00 Krzysztof Kasprzak 2 29 12 10.33 9.67 Jason Doyle 1 43 18 9.78 9.56 Matej Zagar 2 20 9 9.78 8.89 Niels K Iversen 2 43 20 9.00 8.60 Craig Cook 4 40 19 9.26 8.42 Andreas Jonsson 1 40 19 8.63 8.42 Chris Holder 1 35 17 8.47 8.24 Troy Batchelor 0 11 6 7.33 7.33 Patrick Hougaard 0 21 12 7.00 7.00 Tai Woffinden 2 12 7 8.00 6.86 Hans Andersen 2 24 14 7.43 6.86 Joonas Kylmakorpi 1 10 6 7.33 6.67 Fredrik Lindgren 6 41 25 7.52 6.56 Josh Grajczonek 2 13 8 7.50 6.50 Max Fricke 1 8 5 7.20 6.40 Chris Harris 3 32 20 7.00 6.40 Jacob Thorssell 0 17 11 6.18 6.18 Robert Lambert 6 25 17 7.29 5.88 Kim Nilsson 4 19 13 7.08 5.85 Krzysztof Buczkowski 1 10 7 6.29 5.71 Brady Kurtz 1 8 6 6.00 5.33 Nick Morris 2 16 12 6.00 5.33 Nicolai Klindt 1 13 10 5.60 5.20 Lewis Bridger 1 5 4 6.00 5.00 Rohan Tungate 2 10 8 6.00 5.00 Sam Masters 1 15 12 5.33 5.00 Richard Lawson 3 12 10 6.00 4.80 Scott Nicholls 7 20 17 6.35 4.71 Danny King 2 14 13 4.92 4.31 Kyle Newman 1 1 1 8.00 4.00 Piotr Swiderski 2 3 3 6.67 4.00 Joe Jacobs 1 2 2 6.00 4.00 Edward Kennett 1 4 4 5.00 4.00 Kacper Woryna 0 1 1 4.00 4.00 Mads Korneliussen 0 2 2 4.00 4.00 Peter Karlsson 0 1 1 4.00 4.00 Rory Schlein 0 1 1 4.00 4.00 Sebastian Ulamek 0 2 2 4.00 4.00 Paul Starke 0 5 6 3.33 3.33 Szymon Wozniak 3 8 10 4.40 3.20 Jason Garrity 3 4 7 4.00 2.29 Bjarne Pedersen 0 4 7 2.29 2.29 Justin Sedgmen 0 4 7 2.29 2.29 Josh Auty 0 1 2 2.00 2.00 Aaron Summers 0 2 5 1.60 1.60 Kai Huckenbeck 0 1 3 1.33 1.33 Adam Ellis 0 0 2 0.00 0.00 Antonio Lindback 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 Charles Wright 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 Davey Watt 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 Grzegorz Walasek 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 Kyle Howarth 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 Lewis Rose 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 Richie Worrall 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 Steve Worrall 0 0 4 0.00 0.00
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Who is going to cause him trouble this coming season though? Nicholls had a worse heat 15 record, Harris is comparable and Kennett was, as he is every year, a heat 15 bottle job with an even lower average from just the 4 heat 15s that Lakeside trusted him with. Hans Anderson is a fair bit ahead admittedly. Doyle is 4 points higher so not really fair to compare him to him, I bet Doyle drops more off his average than King does. Lindgren is quite a bit better but Thorsell is only marginally better but has a massive home bias. Of others likely to be in the 2017 Premiership.... Craig Cook has a brilliant heat 15 record, fair play! KK as I mentioned above has a 10 point heat 15 average. Hougaard is very good too. But then you're looking at Josh Grajczonek, Max Fricke, Robert Lambert and Kim Nilsson. Theres not a lot there that will strike much fear into King in 2017. Especially when you consider than in the PL he's ahead of Grajczonek and on a par with Lambert anyway.
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Eeek. OK, maybe not that good! 13 heat 15s, 4.92 average. But the top heat 15 rider in the EL was Josh Bates! Second highest was steve brums favourite, KK!
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TBF, I remember running the the stats when he signed and he (Danny) had an abysmal heat 15 record. But when I run it last year he'd done quite well. Then from memory he's done well this year, I'll try and run the stats later to confirm
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He's a Rick Frost asset, Rick Frost last promoter EL speedway so using the King/Birmingham criteria then we have priority over Bjerre.